Cal St. Northridge
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,251  Elizabeth Nelson SR 21:53
1,664  Katie Alvarenga FR 22:20
1,947  Rachael Naumann JR 22:39
2,244  Rachael Duriez JR 23:02
2,423  Raeanna Cortez JR 23:17
2,462  Jocelyne Ferrufino SR 23:21
2,522  Kimberly Newton SO 23:27
National Rank #256 of 339
West Region Rank #37 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 37th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elizabeth Nelson Katie Alvarenga Rachael Naumann Rachael Duriez Raeanna Cortez Jocelyne Ferrufino Kimberly Newton
Stanford Invitational 09/26 1311 21:42 22:38 24:20 22:54 23:08 23:11 23:22
UCR - Highlander Invitational 10/17 1282 21:51 22:14 22:43 23:04 23:06 22:29 23:42
Big West Championships 10/31 1290 21:51 22:01 22:06 22:46 23:59 24:21 23:24
West Region Championships 11/13 1329 22:21 22:38 22:26 23:47 23:39 23:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 36.5 1061 0.1 0.2 0.5



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Nelson 158.7
Katie Alvarenga 199.1
Rachael Naumann 220.2
Rachael Duriez 241.0
Raeanna Cortez 250.5
Jocelyne Ferrufino 252.5
Kimberly Newton 254.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 0.1% 0.1 29
30 0.2% 0.2 30
31 0.5% 0.5 31
32 1.2% 1.2 32
33 1.9% 1.9 33
34 4.0% 4.0 34
35 8.6% 8.6 35
36 18.5% 18.5 36
37 44.3% 44.3 37
38 20.7% 20.7 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0